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Xcel Energy

Xcel Energy improves its wind power forecasting with AVEVA PI System

Xcel Energy has been generating wind power since 2005, but strong winds often died down unexpectedly, forcing operators to bring coal and gas plants online in a hurry to make up for the loss of renewable energy. This meant starting conventional plants at very short notice, resulting in high maintenance costs due to the abrupt strain on equipment. Deploying AVEVA PI System enabled the operator to predict low-wind periods several hours in advance, a real operational game changer. Coal and gas plants now have ample lead time to ramp up gradually and take over smoothly. The financial benefits are considerable: these accurate forecasts generate more than $7 million in savings per year through greater efficiency, while improving grid stability and the durability of conventional generating equipment.

Objectives

  • Predicting wind speed on wind turbines
  • Predicting when gas and coal will have to compensate for slow wind generation

Solutions

  • AVEVA PI System

Results

  • Accurate forecasts give coal and gas plants hours to ramp up instead of minutes
  • Greater efficiency saves more than $7 million per year

Testimonials

"The savings and efficiencies are estimated to be approximately $46 million over the past six years."
Kasen Huwa
Principal Business Manager, Xcel Energy

FAQ

How does AVEVA PI System predict wind speed at a wind farm?
AVEVA PI System collects high-resolution weather data, field measurements and wind generation history for Xcel Energy. The platform contextualizes these data streams to feed forecasting models capable of anticipating low-wind periods several hours in advance. This accuracy transforms wind farm management: operators no longer suffer sudden changes in wind but anticipate them and calmly plan compensation, ensuring grid stability.
Why does anticipating periods of low wind reduce operating costs?
Before AVEVA, Xcel Energy had to start up its coal and gas plants in a hurry to compensate for unexpected drops in wind generation. These rapid start-ups caused high maintenance costs due to the sudden strain on thermal equipment. Thanks to PI System forecasts, conventional plants now have hours to ramp up gradually, which protects equipment, extends its service life and drastically reduces unplanned maintenance spending.
What financial ROI can wind forecasting with AVEVA generate?
Xcel Energy saves more than $7 million a year thanks to accurate forecasts from AVEVA PI System. These gains come from more efficient coordination between wind, coal and gas: smooth start-ups, optimized operating ranges and less corrective maintenance. For a large multi-source utility, this recurring annual ROI shows that investing in a real-time data platform pays for itself quickly and supports the shift toward a more renewable energy mix.
How does AVEVA support the integration of wind power into a conventional energy mix?
Wind power introduces intermittency that conventional grids were not designed to absorb. AVEVA PI System enables Xcel Energy to turn this constraint into an opportunity: accurate forecasts feed the scheduling of coal and gas plants, which shift from a reactive backup role to a planned complementary role. This smooth integration encourages the growth of renewable energy without destabilizing the grid, and shows how real-time data has become the cornerstone of the energy transition.
Why does the energy transition depend on mastering real-time data?
An energy mix that includes wind requires real-time coordination between intermittent and dispatchable sources. AVEVA PI System provides Xcel Energy with the data foundation needed for this orchestration: multi-source collection, contextualization, forecasting and reporting. The platform enables operators and planners to make informed decisions across multiple time horizons (minutes, hours, days). Without this mastery of data, the energy transition would remain theoretical. Xcel Energy demonstrates in practice that data is the key to a stable, decarbonized grid.